Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1150
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jun 06 2025 20:10:53

ACUS11 KWNS 062010
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062010=20
TNZ000-KYZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-062145-

Mesoscale Discussion 1150
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0310 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025

Areas affected...Eastern Tennessee...northeast Alabama and far
northwest Georgia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 062010Z - 062145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms with isolated wind damage and/or
marginally severe hail will persist for the next few hours, but the
need for a watch is uncertain.

DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms have formed in the unstable
warm sector from northern AL into middle and eastern TN.  This area
of convection is removed to the east-southeast of the remnant MCV
over southeast MO, and local VWPs show correspondingly weak
flow/vertical shear.  Some loose clustering of storms may occur with
outflow mergers through late afternoon/evening, but it is not clear
that any organized clusters will emerge from the storm mergers.=20
Thus, it is not clear that a severe thunderstorm watch is necessary.

...Thompson/Smith.. 06/06/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7nlzYZ2WvF4nR4HO3hnAvKA_e-rUDIMMq-chv3Tyuk6j73yCjT9QUxsQeKok4nzL_VxA6TQwd=
VQl9blbSbsFfTxyXN4$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...FFC...OHX...HUN...

LAT...LON   36578365 36128362 35578402 35208453 34858508 34608563
            34548621 34608659 35058680 35838651 36268619 36518577
            36608534 36578365=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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