Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1149
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jun 06 2025 19:12:19

ACUS11 KWNS 061912
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061911=20
ALZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-062015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1149
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0211 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025

Areas affected...northern/central Mississippi and far northeastern
Alabama

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 061911Z - 062015Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms with locally damaging wind possible through
the afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A remnant MCV and trailing outflow continue to shift
southeastward across Mississippi and Arkansas this afternoon.
Thunderstorms along the leading edge of the remnant outflow in
Mississippi have shown some increase in lightning and echo tops over
the last hour as they approach a very moist and unstable air mass
across northern Mississippi. Storms along the outflow may attempt to
organize and pose some risk for damaging wind as they move south and
eastward. Overall, the shear across northern Mississippi is weak
which may limit a more organized severe risk likely precluding the
need for a watch.

...Thornton/Smith.. 06/06/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9g0w_Jh7xejbOgFHXNeSrkEvyfIwDfZRuwVHrmDmk_wh1qVOnSpmo1UJ8YA8Tn8PcJ0hT8E8s=
9XRzDsx79dCgdcwLIk$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   34958986 34968971 34938812 34708793 34248804 33888826
            33488851 33168899 33048981 33059032 33079083 33429103
            33669109 34119091 34958986=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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