Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1135
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jun 06 2025 00:00:12

ACUS11 KWNS 060000
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052359=20
OKZ000-TXZ000-060130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1135
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0659 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025

Areas affected...portions of central into southern Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 371...

Valid 052359Z - 060130Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 371
continues.

SUMMARY...A supercell will persist across central into southern OK
for at least a few more hours. Severe wind and hail remain the
primary threats. A downstream WW issuance cannot be ruled out if the
supercell robustly persists. However, at least a local
spatial/temporal extension of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 371 may be
more likely to address shorter-term severe trends.

DISCUSSION...A supercell thunderstorm in central OK has developed
from an earlier MCS and has shifted more toward the southeast OK.
Severe gusts have been observed over the past hour or so, with KTLX
and MRMS mosaic MESH data suggesting that severe hail may also be
present. Adequate deep-layer shear and instability reside ahead of
this storm to support a continued severe wind/hail threat for a few
more hours, so local extensions in time and space for Severe
Thunderstorm Watch 371 may be warranted. It is unclear if the
supercell will persist later this evening such that a downstream WW
issuance will be needed, though convective trends will continue to
be monitored over the next couple of hours.

...Squitieri/Guyer.. 06/05/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9wlqCtmfRA2Qc52pQjhnAlnA_GHEkOmwkijKV2q2dq0uVQmd0f8gvNzfISxE9sYbACOMToEn2=
lOdi1yEipygr_3evD8$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...OUN...

LAT...LON   34979708 34959630 34729559 34419499 34209488 33929509
            33979593 34109650 34189661 34349702 34529738 34979708=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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