Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1100
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jun 03 2025 23:45:50

ACUS11 KWNS 032344
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032344=20
OKZ000-040115-

Mesoscale Discussion 1100
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0644 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025

Areas affected...South-central into northeast Oklahoma

Concerning...Tornado Watch 363...

Valid 032344Z - 040115Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 363 continues.

SUMMARY...Tornadoes, particularly with discrete storms in
south-central Oklahoma, and damaging winds will remain possible into
the evening.

DISCUSSION...A few discrete storms continue in south-central
Oklahoma. These storms will pose the greatest risk for a tornado
over the next 1-2 hours. Eventually, storm interactions and the
approaching line from the west will lead to a less discrete mode
with time. However, KINX VAD and the low-level jet expected to
remain in eastern Oklahoma suggest some continued risk for tornadoes
with line embedded supercells or QLCS circulations. Within the line
itself, there are embedded bowing segments noted on regional radar.
These elements will pose a risk for damaging winds. Convective
trends will continue to be monitored for possible watch extensions
storms progress eastward this evening. The very moist environment
and anticipated low-level shear will remain favorable.

...Wendt.. 06/03/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6g3hPsKpr3Gss3wuRA1VCWcnSWKKq_pt5XY7dOtAxiMfzSiBGb5PdBhRaVod5FWFQQ9mDCrcD=
fe2B0FsbXLmFDn2_PM$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

LAT...LON   35619685 36039669 36349671 36539633 36709584 36369526
            35799507 35459501 34629533 34149564 33999649 34079723
            34159775 34459792 35619685=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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