Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1070
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jun 02 2025 02:58:30

ACUS11 KWNS 020258
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020257=20
TXZ000-020430-

Mesoscale Discussion 1070
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0957 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025

Areas affected...North-central into east-central TX

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352...

Valid 020257Z - 020430Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352
continues.

SUMMARY...At least an isolated severe threat may continue through
Midnight CDT.

DISCUSSION...Increasing CINH has resulted in a decrease in storm
coverage across parts of north-central into east-central TX, though
one ongoing supercell is moving southward east of Waco. Moderate
buoyancy and favorable deep-layer shear will continue to support a=20
threat of large hail and locally gusty winds with this cell for as
long as it can persist.=20

Farther north, earlier hail-producing storms near the Metroplex have
weakened, though some redevelopment continues to the cool side of a
westward-moving outflow across north-central TX. While the
northernmost convection is somewhat elevated, moderate buoyancy
could still support a localized hail threat with redeveloping storms
through late evening, before convection generally subsides
overnight.=20

Parts of WW 352 have been extended in time to Midnight CDT in order
to cover the lingering severe threat across the region.

...Dean.. 06/02/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_v3nggNGkKDIjoW-I1KjL20Hr0jGhAHns9E3CLD-dC9fPW_zh-kxW9w1Sxx1cvo4-hZOWJ66X=
26f4KGsH3QEttZ_LKg$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...

LAT...LON   32969846 33049767 32969650 32049571 31439504 31189482
            30969472 30799472 30539474 30189533 29969624 30239653
            30989709 31509755 32039806 32329841 32479865 32789873
            32969846=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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