Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jun 02 2025 00:57:26

ACUS01 KWNS 020056
SWODY1
SPC AC 020054

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0754 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025

Valid 020100Z - 021200Z

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
TEXAS...

....SUMMARY...
Scattered large hail and isolated damaging winds remain possible
this evening across portions of Texas.

....01z Update...

Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a notable short-wave
trough digging southeast across the lower MS Valley region. The tail
end of this feature extends into northeast TX where it appears to be
partially influential in ongoing strong/severe thunderstorm
activity. Slow-moving surface boundary is currently draped across
the south side of the Metroplex, extending into northwest TX, north
of Abilene. 00z sounding from FWD exhibited seasonally strong
instability with around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE, and adequate 0-6km bulk
shear for organized updrafts. Later this evening, some increase in
the LLJ is forecast across the TX South Plains, but low-level inflow
is expected to remain somewhat weak farther east along the I-35
corridor. Even so, southward propagation along the instability axis
is expected with these hail-producing clusters into the late-evening
hours.

...Darrow.. 06/02/2025

$$

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