Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1068
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jun 02 2025 00:40:15

ACUS11 KWNS 020039
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020039=20
TXZ000-020215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1068
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0739 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025

Areas affected...North-central TX

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352...

Valid 020039Z - 020215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352
continues.

SUMMARY...A damaging hail/wind threat will continue this evening.

DISCUSSION...A left-moving supercell has recently developed and
produced 2+ inch hail on the south side of Fort Worth. This cell may
continue propagating eastward along a surging outflow into the
eastern part of the Metroplex. Large to very large hail and severe
outflow gusts will continue to be a short-term threat with this
cell.=20=20

Additional cells continue to develop south and west of the
Metroplex. Hodographs will continue to support splitting cells,
though right-moving cells have struggled to persist within an
environment with increasing MLCINH. It remains possible that a
right-moving cell or two could persist and propagate southward, with
a threat for hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado.=20

Left-moving cells may continue to thrive in the short term. Another
apparent left-moving supercell has developed west of the Metroplex,
and there is some potential for this cell to continue eastward atop
the expanding outflow, with a damaging hail/wind threat. With a
continued severe threat near the north edge of the watch and
potentially to the east of the watch, local watch expansion is being
considered.

...Dean/Hart.. 06/02/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_beAjaCJ6d516krdBzjBpaAW7QN2BGgcnfh61LXyH2brr7y9EiIFAXSRY0D0J2fUImvSi5OeX=
Ok7H-jKQ_O5DjQzRyk$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...

LAT...LON   32069562 31729580 31229669 31279744 31779801 32579863
            32979814 33029673 32829582 32499562 32379557 32069562=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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