Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1047
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri May 30 2025 21:30:18

ACUS11 KWNS 302033
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302032=20
WIZ000-MIZ000-302200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1047
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0332 PM CDT Fri May 30 2025

Areas affected...Eastern Wisconsin

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 302032Z - 302200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm activity has begun to increase across
portions of northeastern Wisconsin ahead of a southward-moving
surface cold front. While no WW issuance is anticipated, storms
could be capable of intermittent hail and damaging wind gusts.

DISCUSSION...Storms have developed along and ahead of a southward
moving cold front in northeastern Wisconsin, with some modest
clearing out ahead of the storms and cooler temperatures aloft
resulting in some modest 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. Deep layer shear
exceeding 40 knots will support some convective organization, with
relatively well-mixed/dry boundary layer profiles supporting
damaging wind gusts with the strongest storms. With the freezing
level being at approximately 700 mb, potential exists for hail up to
1.00"-1.25" as well.

...Halbert.. 05/30/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8aJ8eXNOmO4HB0LZyPzPdbxKlK-2sTC6xttVvDNxXd8CQrgTSB8eEiCSGuX0PMtN6v19HBOF8=
VMzoLpJnpGLUpQMIf4$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...MKX...

LAT...LON   43968875 44778873 45328859 45488807 45488769 45098736
            44398729 43638744 42868771 42648796 42758834 43118873
            43968875=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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