Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0986
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon May 26 2025 05:42:50

ACUS11 KWNS 260542
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260542=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-260715-

Mesoscale Discussion 0986
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Mon May 26 2025

Areas affected...North Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 329...

Valid 260542Z - 260715Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 329
continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging winds and isolated hail remain possible across
North Texas the next couple of hours.

DISCUSSION...A line of convection near/just south of the Red River
has shown some recent signs of intensification/forward propagation
as it moves south into a more unstable airmass and encounters the
nose of a modest southerly low-level jet. An outflow boundary from
storms further to the west is noted surging eastward toward the
western periphery of the Metroplex. It is possible that some further
intensification could occur as the southward-surging convection
interacts with the eastward-developing outflow within the very moist
and moderately unstable airmass. Damaging winds and isolated hail
remain possible.

...Leitman.. 05/26/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4vLV6VfQwoj_s6Fr-udF6XXSS84nzQGPIecehKfUhYA7mwhXHKj2ZWrlAA8ed_i7oDRbbnlca=
wNKh2-a_c5m1tRm6Xc$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON   33789678 33709597 33109580 32459633 32249687 32249742
            32379788 32539822 32839833 33199827 33589764 33789678=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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