Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0974
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun May 25 2025 21:45:48

ACUS11 KWNS 252144
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252144=20
TXZ000-252315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0974
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0444 PM CDT Sun May 25 2025

Areas affected...portions of the Texas Panhandle

Concerning...Tornado Watch 325...

Valid 252144Z - 252315Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 325 continues.

SUMMARY...Large to very large hail threat and tornado potential
continues.

DISCUSSION...A pair of supercells northeast of Lubbock will continue
to pose the risk for large to very large hail. The southern cell is
situated along a remnant outflow boundary has been further
influenced by near storm interactions. This cell has a history of
producing hail up to 2.75". Nearby surface winds are northeasterly,
however, the cell has turned southward. Should this cell begin to
move into more favorably backed southeasterly winds, tornado
potential could increase with ingest of streamwise vorticity and
enhancement of near surface vorticity from the aforementioned
boundary.

...Thornton.. 05/25/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9z5N5dmTadJ1XsGq1pGmCaHVnL98loNPtuDgN5GXJHqGCP-Y4_q3KjccXhM9NpQQFsnF3gCJw=
VLErpqWh4a5eAswcMs$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...

LAT...LON   33630119 33800132 34090141 34540117 34670098 34740074
            34690043 34570020 34280006 34050008 33740029 33520047
            33440070 33440099 33450094 33630119=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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