Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0964
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun May 25 2025 06:47:12

ACUS11 KWNS 250646
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250646=20
OKZ000-250815-

Mesoscale Discussion 0964
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0146 AM CDT Sun May 25 2025

Areas affected...northeast OK

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 321...

Valid 250646Z - 250815Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 321
continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging wind potential may be increasing across northeast
Oklahoma over the next couple of hours.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of elevated supercells across north-central
OK may consolidate into a southeastward-propagating MCS over the
next couple of hours. These storms are developing within a warm
advection regime to the cool side of a quasi-stationary surface
boundary and on the fringe of a 30-40 kt low-level jet oriented
across northwest TX into OK. West to northwesterly 0-6 km bulk shear
around 40-50 kt will aid in continued updraft organization as this
cluster tracks east/southeast along the MUCAPE gradient over
northeast OK. If this activity can consolidate and generate enough
of a cold pool, severe/damaging wind potential will increase over
the next couple of hours.

...Leitman.. 05/25/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_X3Z1eaJzx3pOk-u46IS8X7I50k1gJMhOBoedR-lUsmKBPKaDvd5gYvyq_DmSbJ78Rlodu6ue=
Q1QQWHsbRmVlqRJcwg$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

LAT...LON   36089682 36449727 36759733 36919714 36949654 36739495
            36539466 36029455 35769464 35689521 35889616 36089682=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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