Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon May 19 2025 19:28:26

ACUS03 KWNS 191927
SWODY3
SPC AC 191926

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

Valid 211200Z - 221200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS AND MID-ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST STATES...

....SUMMARY...
At least isolated severe storms are possible Wednesday mainly across
parts of North Carolina and nearby parts of southern Virginia and/or
eastern South Carolina.

....Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic/Southeast States...
Within the base of the Great Lakes-centered upper trough, strong
westerlies aloft will exist over the Carolinas, central/southern
Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic States on Wednesday. Scattered
thunderstorms will likely be ongoing in the morning, potentially
complexifying the details of where the north/south extent of
most-favorable severe storm ingredients will materialize. However,
severe-weather potential currently seems most likely to set up
across North Carolina and possibly southern Virginia in vicinity of
the warm front and a weak surface wave. A semi-focused corridor of
supercell/severe-storm potential could materialize with
hail/damaging wind and tornado potential. Slight Risk-caliber severe
probabilities are plausible into the Day 2 or Day 1 time frame as
forecast details are refined.

Other more isolated severe storms may occur through the afternoon
with southwestward extent along the southeastward-advancing cold
front into southeast Georgia and northern Florida, where moderate
buoyancy is expected coincident with the southern edge of stronger
westerlies aloft.

...Guyer.. 05/19/2025

$$

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