Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Mon May 19 2025 07:32:55 ACUS03 KWNS 190731 SWODY3 SPC AC 190730 Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 AM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO THE FL/GA BORDER... ....SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible across southeast Virginia, eastern North Carolina, and along the Atlantic coast to near the Florida/Georgia border. ....Discussion... Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing at the beginning of the period, Wednesday, along a frontal zone from the Mid-Atlantic to the Florida Panhandle. Aloft, an elongated jet streak will overspread areas from Virginia to northern Florida. A very moist, mostly uncapped airmass will be in place east of the cold front with a 60-70 knot mid-level jet streak overspreading the warm sector. Therefore, some strong to severe storms are possible along the front before it moves into the Atlantic at some point Wednesday afternoon. Damaging wind gusts (and perhaps a tornado) are anticipated. The location with the greatest potential for greater severe coverage will likely be across eastern North Carolina and southeast Virginia. However, given the proximity to the coast and a relatively narrow window of favorable conditions, no slight risk has been introduced. Elsewhere, thunderstorm activity is possible along a cold frontal zone from MS/AL to southern Texas. However, forcing will be quite weak and therefore, any development should remain mostly isolated. ...Bentley.. 05/19/2025 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .