Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat May 10 2025 19:03:37

ACUS03 KWNS 101903
SWODY3
SPC AC 101902

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0202 PM CDT Sat May 10 2025

Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHEAST...

....SUMMARY...
Strong storms may impact parts of the Southeast on Monday,
particularly a corridor across the Florida Peninsula into the South
Carolina Piedmont, where strongest activity may pose a risk for
producing a couple of tornadoes, locally strong surface gusts, and
marginally severe hail.

....Eastern AL into GA/FL/SC...

An upper low over the Lower MS Valley will lift north/northeast
toward the lower OH Valley on Monday. Enhanced southwesterly flow on
the eastern periphery of this feature will overspread much of FL
into GA and the Carolinas. At the surface, southeasterly low-level
flow will maintain mid 60s F dewpoints. Cool temperatures aloft (-10
to -14 C) will support modest destabilization, though ongoing
convection Monday morning and regional cloud cover are likely to
limit stronger insolation. Given vertically veering wind profile
with 30-40 kt flow above 700 mb, effective shear magnitudes greater
than 30 kt are forecast. This should allow for scattered organized
cells, with isolated supercells possible. Locally strong gusts,
isolated marginally severe hail, and a couple of tornadoes will be
possible across the Marginal risk (level 1 of 5) area during the
afternoon.

...Leitman.. 05/10/2025

$$

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