Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0755
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat May 10 2025 07:56:39

ACUS11 KWNS 100756
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100755=20
FLZ000-ALZ000-101030-

Mesoscale Discussion 0755
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0255 AM CDT Sat May 10 2025

Areas affected...Far south AL into the FL Panhandle

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 100755Z - 101030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Some increase in isolated wind-damage and tornado
potential is possible overnight.

DISCUSSION...In the wake of a remnant MCS moving across the
northeast Gulf vicinity, some low-level moistening is expected with
time overnight near coastal AL and the FL Panhandle, to the east of
a surface low that is forecast to track from east of New Orleans to
near Mobile. As this occurs, a midlevel vorticity maximum rotating
through a broad mid/upper-level trough/low will aid in renewed
vigorous storm development near/east of the surface low, which is
already ongoing south of Mobile.=20

Veering wind profiles within the low-level warm advection regime
will support organized convection. Uncertainty remains regarding the
extent of inland destabilization, but there will be some potential
for locally damaging wind and possibly a tornado for near-coastal
areas, within the moistening and favorably sheared environment.

...Dean/Guyer.. 05/10/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!58VBDXKgOXiMTxumbhB4jo3ouqx9XzGuTkHqGDbrv0V7YFp1jlWEH_beajSWgb_Xx3FGDyToX=
aYjBfN49zLdBRsvwDg$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...

LAT...LON   30578824 30758780 30748719 30718651 30618594 30518567
            30288574 30008587 29858605 29758630 29728646 29748669
            29808710 29918790 30038828 30398830 30578824=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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