Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0748
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu May 08 2025 23:12:16

ACUS11 KWNS 082312
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082311=20
VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-090015-

Mesoscale Discussion 0748
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0611 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025

Areas affected...Tennessee Valley into central Carolinas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 239...240...242...

Valid 082311Z - 090015Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 239, 240,
242 continues.

SUMMARY...Several clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms will
continue to affect the region through the early evening, before
diurnal cooling weakens storms.  Large hail and locally damaging
wind gusts are the primary concern.

DISCUSSION...Recent regional radar imagery continues to show
clusters of thunderstorms from middle TN and northern AL into
southern WV.  Another broken line of storms extends from
south-central VA into upstate SC.  Several of these storms continue
to show loosely-organized rotating updrafts capable of hail and
gusty winds.  Activity will likely begin to diminish in intensity
during the next 1-2 hours as diurnal cooling occurs and instability
weakens.=20=20

One area that may see continued convective development will be
across southern NC into parts of northern SC - in vicinity of a weak
mid-level shortwave trough seen in water vapor imagery.  CAPE values
of 1500+ J/kg and sufficient westerly flow aloft may maintain a risk
of severe storms for a few more hours.

...Hart.. 05/08/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-7Y82jUV8Avr8KxW_-y5qFZMXSMI6JOWcx3QpjpJms37rMC24fjxSXHWKflK205vdMv1rBpMH=
W3HAfBy08UXj67ZJDQ$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...ILM...RNK...RLX...CAE...GSP...MRX...
JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   35358753 36318606 37228446 38188261 37768047 36717843
            35207879 34318037 34188184 34288276 34628372 34408528
            33298718 33118820 33208873 33798847 34488808 35358753=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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