Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri May 02 2025 07:30:41

ACUS03 KWNS 020730
SWODY3
SPC AC 020729

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025

Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA...EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...

....SUMMARY...
A few strong to severe storms are possible across southeast Georgia,
eastern South Carolina, and southeast North Carolina.

....Discussion...
A mid-level low will become cut-off in the Ohio Valley vicinity on
Sunday. This will result in only slow eastward advancement of the
front along the East Coast. Weak to potentially moderate instability
is expected to develop from southeast Georgia into eastern South
Carolina and perhaps far southeast North Carolina. Storms are
possible along the front and/or the sea breeze with perhaps a
greater threat if these boundaries collide. Mid-level flow should be
sufficiently strong for some storm organization including potential
for a supercell or two. Any severe threat will be mostly diurnal and
wane by late evening. Warm mid-level temperatures should keep storms
mostly suppressed across Florida.

A mid-level low will advance east across the Southwest on Sunday
with some troughing anticipated across the southern High Plains.
Strengthening southeasterly flow across Texas will advect Gulf
moisture west into the Trans Pecos. A supercell is possible in the
vicinity of the Davis Mountains Sunday afternoon/evening, but it is
unclear whether sufficient destabilization will occur to support
this threat. Therefore, no marginal risk has been added at this
time.

...Bentley.. 05/02/2025

$$

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