Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0629
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu May 01 2025 02:35:29

ACUS11 KWNS 010233
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010233=20
TNZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-010330-

Mesoscale Discussion 0629
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0933 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

Areas affected...Parts of the Mid-South

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 201...

Valid 010233Z - 010330Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 201
continues.

SUMMARY...Risk of locally damaging wind gusts persists with an MCS
tracking eastward across the Mid-South.

DISCUSSION...A north/south-oriented MCS continues tracking eastward
across the Mid-South at around 30-40 kt. Despite some weakening of
this system, the well-established cold pool and around 40 kt of 0-6
km shear (per NQA VWP) is supporting embedded severe wind gusts
(recent measured gusts of 55-65 mph in northwest MS). As the MCS
continues eastward amid increasing nocturnal inhibition, continued
weakening is expected. Therefore, a downstream watch is not
currently expected, though convective trends will be monitored.

...Weinman/Smith.. 05/01/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4RIFErjKVOF-blTF2lA6sUAIZf0-dFXBMkoS0hyxNZ02ts3ATHm7v4GSdcgkIvfh6jv4IetLG=
47WI26k0NrFxOvbyE4$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   33409021 33259061 33389089 33969062 35079028 35649031
            36109046 36269031 36308995 36128960 35558957 34498968
            33918987 33409021=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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