Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0598
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Apr 29 2025 08:07:19

ACUS11 KWNS 290806
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290806=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-291000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0598
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0306 AM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025

Areas affected...southwest Oklahoma into northwest Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 290806Z - 291000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A few strong to severe gust may occur from northwest Texas
into southwest Oklahoma this morning. The situation may not require
a watch.

DISCUSSION...An MCS is rapidly moving eastward into northwest TX,
with several gusts over 50 kt recently. Radar indicates the leading
edge of this convective line remains strong and well balanced. Given
a moist and unstable air mass downstream, it is expected this system
will persist for a few more hours. However, longevity may also
depend on capping. At the very least, isolated severe gusts may
occur. Trends will continue to be monitored.

...Jewell/Mosier.. 04/29/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-g3kjs5_edRQEO0E6lPOWR4Q9jmTH71dqSRTiCeJl6HE2NgcVx6ZVH1lrGjFBCYlJ4kgNQXdE=
qTNYcblS88avsCfl1k$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

LAT...LON   34309996 34709984 34819944 34939822 34759773 34489756
            34019759 33569772 33399840 33180004 33270030 34309996=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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