Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Apr 24 2025 06:59:44

ACUS03 KWNS 240659
SWODY3
SPC AC 240658

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN
NEW MEXICO INTO WESTERN TEXAS...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday
across portions of eastern New Mexico into western Texas.

....Southern High Plains...

An upper ridge will remain centered over the Great Plains on
Saturday. However, an upper trough will shift east into the
Southwestern U.S., and southwesterly flow aloft will increase across
the southern Rockies/High Plains vicinity by late afternoon into the
overnight hours. At the surface, a stalled front from east-central
NM into central OK will lift northward through the day and
south/southeasterly low-level flow will transport upper 50s to low
60s F dewpoints northward across the High Plains. Midlevel lapse
rates will steepen through the day, and a corridor of weak to
moderate instability is expected along a sharpening dryline across
eastern NM into western TX.

Some forecast guidance has quite a bit of ongoing convection
Saturday morning, which lends to uncertainty regarding severe
potential. Nevertheless, the overall environment will support severe
thunderstorms capable of producing large hail and damaging gusts.
While coverage and location is uncertain, highest confidence in a
few supercells is across eastern NM and perhaps into adjacent west
TX.

...Leitman.. 04/24/2025

$$

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