Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0522
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Apr 23 2025 01:54:42

ACUS11 KWNS 230154
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230153=20
TXZ000-230330-

Mesoscale Discussion 0522
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0853 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

Areas affected...Much of western Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159...

Valid 230153Z - 230330Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat should continue for a few more hours.
Severe wind and hail remain the primary concerns.

DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells and multicells persist across
western TX, several of which have a history of producing severe
hail/gusts. Nocturnal boundary-layer stabilization is underway,
which will contribute to gradual diminishing buoyancy and increasing
MLCINH. While the severe threat should wane into the evening, enough
buoyancy remains to support a continued severe wind/hail threat for
at least a few more hours.

...Squitieri.. 04/23/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-nIZjzsXDCj0UElvsrQHveo8UkBqUNmVqf3zYaYszN8Moz5VVqm3hAX1Xdq5nRSq8EGamoU_7=
1GZ6rNwi7Tx6vWPDB0$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   29960228 31060269 32840275 33640253 34140223 34740119
            34620054 33530026 32500020 31370024 30460055 29870119
            29960228=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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