Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Apr 23 2025 01:03:59

ACUS01 KWNS 230103
SWODY1
SPC AC 230101

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0801 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

Valid 230100Z - 231200Z

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS
INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...

....SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible across parts of the
southern/central Plains this evening, with isolated strong activity
over Louisiana and later tonight into Iowa.

....Southern Plains...
Scattered storms currently stretch from south-central KS into much
of West TX, where strong heating occurred this afternoon along the
leading edge of the moisture return. Cool midlevel temperatures as
well as modest mid to high level flow will continue to support large
hail. Some of these storms may congeal into cluster with damaging
outflow, perhaps across northwest TX and southwest OK later tonight.
For more information see forthcoming mesoscale discussion 520.

....Elsewhere...
Isolated strong storms persist this evening over Louisiana, where
moderate instability developed today. These slow moving cells may
continue to produce marginal hail for an hour or two before
dissipating with the loss of heating.

Farther north, increasing southwest flow around 850 mb will
transport moisture into NE/IA, as an upper trough over the northern
Plains glances the area. Scattered elevated storms are expected late
tonight, and cold midlevel temperatures and modest shear in the
cloud-bearing layer may support sporadic hail.

...Jewell.. 04/23/2025

$$

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