Subj : HVYRAIN: Excessive Rainfall Discussion
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Apr 14 2025 00:21:13

FOUS30 KWBC 140020
QPFERD

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
820 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025

Day 1
Valid 01Z Mon Apr 14 2025 - 12Z Mon Apr 14 2025

The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less
than 5 percent.

Pereira

Day 2
Valid 12Z Mon Apr 14 2025 - 12Z Tue Apr 15 2025

The latest CAM guidance suite indicates the potential for some
locally heavy rainfall across the terrain of eastern West Virginia
Monday night into early Tuesday, mainly in the 00z-06Z time period,
with the approach of the cold front from the Ohio Valley. Most
hourly rainfall rates should be under 0.75 inch per hour where the
convection develops, and less than current flash flood guidance,
so no Marginal Risk area is needed at this time.

Hamrick

Day 3
Valid 12Z Tue Apr 15 2025 - 12Z Wed Apr 16 2025

The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less
than 5 percent.

Hamrick


Day 1 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/94epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!6mu-l00yq1mxG0BhVOc9aIvJvGINdoZymoadJg_F_VSp=
mjBlvd4nKGEpLeg3AuEs1-amGpksTCunZGgcaLvHQZcr7ZE$=20
Day 2 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/98epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!6mu-l00yq1mxG0BhVOc9aIvJvGINdoZymoadJg_F_VSp=
mjBlvd4nKGEpLeg3AuEs1-amGpksTCunZGgcaLvHGzI_lBs$=20
Day 3 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/99epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!6mu-l00yq1mxG0BhVOc9aIvJvGINdoZymoadJg_F_VSp=
mjBlvd4nKGEpLeg3AuEs1-amGpksTCunZGgcaLvHb0HiGTA$=20

=3D =3D =3D
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