Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0439
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Apr 07 2025 23:49:47

ACUS11 KWNS 072349
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072348=20
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-080115-

Mesoscale Discussion 0439
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0648 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025

Areas affected...Eastern Carolinas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134...

Valid 072348Z - 080115Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong, to locally severe, thunderstorms will spread
across the eastern Carolinas this evening.

DISCUSSION...Pre-frontal confluence zone extends across the Coastal
Carolinas early this evening. Over the last half hour or so, some
increase in intensity has been noted with convection from near
FLO-MEB. This activity has gradually evolved into a line segment,
and damaging winds may become a threat if a bowing-type structure
ultimately evolves. Damaging winds are the greatest risk with
organized convection this evening.

...Darrow.. 04/07/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!82fzZmOXG2r6YxhOPoYg7ilfJnkkGGqqiOExZ68XrT_19etvHZbv5lThqGH2Qh_0C09FvNQGe=
nE5_tWoY1qR_0qzFyU$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...

LAT...LON   33448059 36707725 36707508 33457851 33448059=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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