Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0422
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Apr 06 2025 06:37:06

ACUS11 KWNS 060637
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060636=20
GAZ000-ALZ000-060730-

Mesoscale Discussion 0422
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0136 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025

Areas affected...parts of nern AL...nwrn GA into adjacent sern TN

Concerning...Tornado Watch 128...

Valid 060636Z - 060730Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 128 continues.

SUMMARY...Ongoing convection approaching northwestern Georgia has
shown substantive weakening trends, with little potential for
appreciable intensification anticipated.  A new severe weather watch
appears unlikely, but trends will continue to be monitored.

DISCUSSION...Within a strong, and strongly sheared, ambient
southwesterly regime, the leading edge of a line of convection
continues to propagate toward areas near and south of the southern
Appalachians.  Stronger convection is largely focused along and to
the cool side of its outflow, and has recently tended to weaken,
with lighting rapidly diminishing.  Relatively warm temperatures
associated with broad ridging aloft continue to limit instability of
southeasterly low-level storm inflow, and boundary-layer dew points
decrease into the lower 60s across much of central and northern
Georgia.  With little substantive improvement probable, ongoing
convection seems likely to continue to weaken with diminishing
severe weather potential across northeastern Alabama into adjacent
northwestern Georgia.

...Kerr.. 04/06/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8b34kMg6OkfS1bIWBoNAvmUGExS6v1cInX3Qn7Uo8Srrz7BwI2oH83V-i-zublX80gNiBnkQa=
TGinnvMX9TWB04rCXo$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   34418632 34908552 34958460 34468459 34108524 33658606
            33838682 34178665 34418632=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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