Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0374
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Apr 03 2025 09:55:39

ACUS11 KWNS 030955
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030955=20
TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-031130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0374
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0455 AM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025

Areas affected...portions of northern MS into Middle TN

Concerning...Tornado Watch 104...

Valid 030955Z - 031130Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 104 continues.

SUMMARY...The tornado risk may persist across portions of northern
Mississippi into Middle Tennessee another few hours. A local watch
extension may be needed.

DISCUSSION...Occasionally intense cells exhibiting moderate rotation
continue along the stalled surface boundary from northern MS into
Middle TN early this morning. A supercell southwest of the Nashville
area has recently shown increasing rotation over the past 20
minutes. Wind profile data from GWX and HUN continue to show
supercell wind profiles across the warm sector, while a narrow
corridor of modest MLCAPE extends northeast across the MCD area.
Convection may continue to be sustained in the warm advection regime
along the surface boundary and within a favorably sheared
environment such that tornado/severe potential could persist a few
more hours. With Tornado Watch 104 set to expire at 11z, a local
watch extension may be needed.

...Leitman/Gleason.. 04/03/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!45qOOWfrds_R9AYVIUq167ke3aE75zidj7iluZf9jSRXCW9NuFTQFTmwNhKzMvavnZIsAcKRf=
H5ePXhZ-pvc0M5KLlQ$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   35688586 35098720 34968766 34558853 34568882 34638910
            34898920 35338855 36428625 36568555 36478504 36208510
            35688586=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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