Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0367
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Apr 03 2025 01:23:10

ACUS11 KWNS 030121
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030120=20
INZ000-030245-

Mesoscale Discussion 0367
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0820 PM CDT Wed Apr 02 2025

Areas affected...Parts of central Indiana

Concerning...Tornado Watch 99...

Valid 030120Z - 030245Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 99 continues.

SUMMARY...The tornado and damaging-wind risk is spreading
east-northeastward across central Indiana in Tornado Watch 99.

DISCUSSION...The latest radar data from IND/VWX shows an intense
bowing line segment with an embedded supercell structure tracking
east-northeastward at around 60 kt across central IN. With
moist/unstable inflow for this system (middle 60s dewpoints) and
60-70 kt of line-orthogonal 0-6 km shear (pew IND VWP), this intense
convection will continue to pose a risk of severe wind gusts
(upwards of 80 mph) and embedded tornadoes. Isolated cells
developing ahead of the main line will also pose a risk of
tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds.=20

Farther south, semi-discrete supercell clusters are also tracking
east-northeastward within a very favorable environment (350-400
m2/s2 effective SRH and around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE). This activity will
continue to pose a risk of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds
as it continues east-northeastward.

...Weinman.. 04/03/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8RV40Kf9bDlFsvyV1pJreOYuD-92VHqON0hyDtQhhQ_adpMUBYXN-hdTQgB_tyoSbf1mEqhly=
PWwc8BmOzfDOmOZebQ$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...

LAT...LON   38618735 38928730 39678676 40188638 40498600 40468544
            40268526 39928518 39678533 39098588 38658671 38618735=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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