Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0363
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Apr 02 2025 23:13:05

ACUS11 KWNS 022312
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022312=20
TNZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-030045-

Mesoscale Discussion 0363
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0612 PM CDT Wed Apr 02 2025

Areas affected...Portions of the Mid-South

Concerning...Tornado Watch 98...

Valid 022312Z - 030045Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 98 continues.

SUMMARY...Numerous discrete supercells are intensifying in a very
favorable environment for strong to intense tornadoes across the
Mid-South.

DISCUSSION...Numerous discrete right-moving supercells are
intensifying across the open warm sector in the Mid-South as of 23Z.
The NQA VWP depicts very large, clockwise-curved hodographs with
ample streamwise vorticity for these storms (around 330 m2/s2 0-500m
SRH). Given a moist/unstable boundary layer, ample low-level shear,
and the well-established discrete supercells, several strong to
intense tornadoes are possible through this corridor over the next
couple hours.

...Weinman.. 04/02/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5M3piACfHYhlhGXdYunkjo_xq7CGFU3k7ztNr-6ZkxyDVPvw_5PvYfBa33KgW8lyuxNiHfXvZ=
MRckMvL_q115GDC1VI$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   34009085 34259159 34699169 35159159 36289066 36499019
            36468975 36348926 36078903 35798902 34179016 34009085=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...155-190 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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