Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0304
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Mar 30 2025 19:33:23

ACUS11 KWNS 301928
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301927=20
INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-302100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0304
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0227 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

Areas affected...Far east-central Missouri...parts of southern
Illinois

Concerning...Tornado Watch 70...

Valid 301927Z - 302100Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 70 continues.

SUMMARY...Supercells moving into southern Illinois will pose a
threat for tornadoes (possibly strong) and large to very-large hail.

DISCUSSION...Storms in and moving into southern Illinois have so far
remained discrete. Regional VAD data suggest that this region
remains favorable for low-level rotation in supercells. As long as
storms remain discrete, which is not certain given the cold front
moving southeastward, there will be a threat for a tornado (possibly
strong) and large to very-large hail.

...Wendt.. 03/30/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8Zw0A061rBs8kUtKXxQb-PO5ZIFdUtvjDgtAVEcdjLEI6Fe9XSZQ6osRCfQ3fhEX4Y1fJyifY=
yHEyM1Bw0i86f4M5kE$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...

LAT...LON   37799093 37989090 38159077 38539030 38858953 39098825
            39058738 38738717 38448731 38138776 37938884 37719010
            37659072 37669085 37799093=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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