Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0298
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Mar 30 2025 17:18:33

ACUS11 KWNS 301717
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301717=20
ILZ000-MOZ000-301915-

Mesoscale Discussion 0298
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1217 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

Areas affected...South-central into east-central Missouri

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 301717Z - 301915Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated small to marginally severe hail and strong wind
gusts possible into mid-afternoon. A watch is not anticipated.

DISCUSSION...With a secondary shortwave trough pivoting out of
Oklahoma, additional convection has developed both along and just
behind the cold front. Convection behind the cold front will be
elevated, but cold temperatures aloft and 30-35 kts of effective
shear will support some threat for small to perhaps marginally
severe hail. Convection along the front will likely remain linear,
but initial development could pose a similar hail threat with the
addition of an isolated strong gust or two. A watch is not expected
for this activity.

...Wendt/Smith.. 03/30/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6cG7cB9JEn-DehoOTf4dHLWVjKF13HuuAozRiw2Ye4lMuxa2_fFfzz_NsMy4JhkEsz9_Bw6U8=
IgBcyU50CrgON7IDuk$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...

LAT...LON   36999360 37579360 38279227 38699133 38849085 38879029
            38739012 38409026 38029055 36979165 36759237 36669318
            36999360=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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