Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Mar 22 2025 08:38:58

ACUS48 KWNS 220838
SWOD48
SPC AC 220837

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0337 AM CDT Sat Mar 22 2025

Valid 251200Z - 301200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Medium-range models are in reasonable agreement into the Day 6
(Thurs. Mar. 27) time period, after which divergence in solutions at
the synoptic scale begins to increase.  This lack of predictability
in the latter half of the period results in lack of confidence with
respect to any assessment of severe-weather potential.

Through the first half of the period, severe-weather potential
appears limited -- particularly Days 4-5 (Tuesday and Wednesday of
next week).  During this time period, an upper trough will advance
slowly eastward across the eastern U.S., with the main surface
baroclinic zone suppressed southward into the Gulf of America and
high pressure building in its wake.

Day 6, hints of a rather weak upper disturbance moving into the
southern Plains could support local/limited severe potential with a
few strong storms, but certainly not appearing sufficient in nature
to warrant an areal inclusion at this time.

...Goss.. 03/22/2025

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