Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0207
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Mar 15 2025 19:10:06

ACUS11 KWNS 151908
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151907=20
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-152030-

Mesoscale Discussion 0207
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0207 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Areas affected...parts of far eastern Louisiana into eastern
Mississippi and far western Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 45...46...

Valid 151907Z - 152030Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45, 46 continues.

SUMMARY...The most concerning tornado threat for the next 1 to 2
hours extends from south-central Mississippi vicinity to far
west-central Alabama.

DISCUSSION...Several supercells across southern Mississippi have
already produced intense to violent tornadoes, including 2 paths
within very close proximity from Walthall to Marion counties from
consecutive supercells. These supercells and a few others which have
recently developed across St. Helena and Tangipahoa Parishes are the
storms of greatest tornadic concern over the next 1 to 2 hours.
These supercells are in the centroid of the greatest STP (6+) and in
the closest proximity to the upper 70s to low 80s temperatures where
surface winds remain backed. Expect this environment to maintain
through the afternoon as a meso-low (~994mb) currently across
central Mississippi translates northeast at a similar speed to the
mean storm motion.

...Bentley.. 03/15/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5MmjQwK9lQ0WMhOVtH_4VQgp8Ben2iHr2OYqvGFcb39EcJFvJvpCoFeyOJfoUej2fmbD0v0hc=
TMt2vwldDiop2IIqsM$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON   30439061 30639079 31009084 31449042 31968975 32338930
            32648904 32888886 32968851 32898815 32058829 31768850
            31298880 30758942 30358996 30319026 30439061=20


=3D =3D =3D
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