Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0164
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Mar 13 2025 01:27:38

ACUS11 KWNS 130126
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130126=20
LAZ000-TXZ000-130230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0164
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0826 PM CDT Wed Mar 12 2025

Areas affected...eastern Texas into western Louisiana

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 29...

Valid 130126Z - 130230Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 29
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe-weather potential may linger locally for another 1
to 2 hours with the ongoing convective band over eastern Texas.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a semi-continuous band of
storms advancing eastward across eastern Texas -- and remains
largely sub-severe.  The convection is moving through the axis of
most substantial instability at this time, per latest RAP-based
objective analysis, which suggests that lingering severe risk should
begin to diminish over the next 1 to 2 hours.  This is further
supported by evening RAOBs, which -- upon continued/gradual
boundary-layer cooling -- suggests an environment becoming
increasingly less supportive of any ramp-up on convective
intensity/severe potential.

...Goss.. 03/13/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7Y-0QzDM-S4IHKZKMrvAusJdhNgly9b-IW9F4jxTONDVNNvhZWyek8STQNc2NZUcDSh7bgsch=
bwt5zuOFTnvet7EY44$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...EWX...

LAT...LON   32399387 32429256 31529250 30359451 30019680 30459644
            31419501 32159446 32399387=20


=3D =3D =3D
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