Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Wed Mar 12 2025 16:52:30 ACUS02 KWNS 121651 SWODY2 SPC AC 121650 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1150 AM CDT Wed Mar 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EASTERN MISSISSIPPI INTO ALABAMA...WESTERN GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ....SUMMARY... A few severe thunderstorms producing hail and locally damaging gusts are possible from eastern Mississippi into Alabama, western Georgia, and parts of the Florida Panhandle on Thursday. ....Synopsis... A shortwave trough will continue eastward across the southeastern states on Thursday, with midlevel speed max traversing the northern Gulf. The trough will be located over AL at midday, with height rises on the back side of the trough across MS and southwest AL during the afternoon. Very cold temperatures aloft will exist with this system, which will contribute to destabilization despite less-than-optimal moisture content. Elsewhere, a large and deep upper trough will progress across the West, with an intense upper vort max and jet streak moving into the southern to central High Plains by Friday morning. Thunderstorms are unlikely through Friday morning with this system. ....Eastern MS...AL...Western GA...FL Panhandle... Areas of early day thunderstorms appear likely over northern MS, beneath the upper low. Hail will be possible given such cold temperatures aloft. Farther south, uncertainty is high for any leftover convection or outflows coming in from the west. If a more robust convective system can persist overnight across AR, then isolated damaging gusts could occur. Later in the day, heating will steepen low-level lapse rates into AL, GA and FL. However, the trough will continue moving rather quickly, which may tend to shunt the more favorable ascent eastward with time. A small area of favorable lift and destabilization may develop over southeast AL, southwest GA, and the FL Panhandle, with large hail possible given long hodographs and cool air aloft. ...Jewell.. 03/12/2025 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .