Subj : HVYRAIN: Excessive Rainfall Discussion
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Mar 09 2025 08:36:09

FOUS30 KWBC 090835
QPFERD

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
435 AM EDT Sun Mar 9 2025

Day 1
Valid 12Z Sun Mar 09 2025 - 12Z Mon Mar 10 2025

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES...

Have introduced a Slight Risk area from the Florida panhandle
eastward into portions of the northern Florida peninsula and
adjacent portions of southern Georgia given increasing support=20
from the models...both global and mesoscale...for higher rainfall=20
amounts/rates.

Present indications are that convection capable of producing
rainfall rates in excess of an inch per hour will be possible in a
corridor along/near the coastal portions of the Florida panhandle
northeastward from this morning into early afternoon (approximately
in the period from 12Z to 18Z) in association with one shortwave=20
that taps some Gulf instability. Another round of moderate to heavy
rainfall looks to develop in the 10/00Z to 10/06Z period as a=20
second shortwave follows a similar path as the first shortwave.
Rainfall totals in of 2 to 4 inches could occur within that=20
corridor...although there could easily be some higher amounts=20
embedded within the belt of heavy rainfall. Those rainfall amounts=20
have the potential to result in flooding of low-lying areas, creeks
and roadways.

Bann

Day 2
Valid 12Z Mon Mar 10 2025 - 12Z Tue Mar 11 2025

The probability of rainfall exceeding Flash Flood Guidance is less
than 5 percent.=20

Bann

Day 3
Valid 12Z Tue Mar 11 2025 - 12Z Wed Mar 12 2025

The probability of rainfall exceeding Flash Flood Guidance is less
than 5 percent.

Bann


Day 1 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/94epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!4Jo9YRrP2gL8Gl3xID9uuNaPi2FAQHicUlozQCidjz6t=
3ys_n8_qbyz4ivakF0LMmt41_t5dTGtgapLZYVcWvO0yufY$=20
Day 2 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/98epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!4Jo9YRrP2gL8Gl3xID9uuNaPi2FAQHicUlozQCidjz6t=
3ys_n8_qbyz4ivakF0LMmt41_t5dTGtgapLZYVcWXlHXRI4$=20
Day 3 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/99epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!4Jo9YRrP2gL8Gl3xID9uuNaPi2FAQHicUlozQCidjz6t=
3ys_n8_qbyz4ivakF0LMmt41_t5dTGtgapLZYVcWN6L8qMs$=20

=3D =3D =3D
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