Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Mar 07 2025 07:51:49

ACUS03 KWNS 070750
SWODY3
SPC AC 070749

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0149 AM CST Fri Mar 07 2025

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN
GEORGIA INTO NORTHERN FLORIDA...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Sunday
across southern Georgia into northern Florida.

....Synopsis...

A positively tilted upper trough will shift east across the
Southeast on Sunday. A weak surface low over southern AL Sunday
morning will shift east near the FL/GA state line before moving
offshore during the nighttime hours. A warm front will be draped
across southern GA, with mid 60s F dewpoints to the south of the
front. Modest midlevel lapse rates will foster MUCAPE around
500-1000 J/kg. Meanwhile, warm advection will sustain ongoing
convection to the north of the warm front Sunday morning/afternoon,
with additional rounds of convection possible during the late
afternoon into the evening as a cold front moves across southern
GA/northern FL. Surface-based instability is expected to remain
weak, with convection likely remaining somewhat elevated given poor
diurnal heating resulting in weak low-level lapse rates.
Nevertheless, favorable vertical shear will be present with
supercell wind profiles evident in forecast soundings. If a storm
can become surface-based near the warm front, isolated strong gusts
or a tornado will be possible.

...Leitman.. 03/07/2025

$$

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