Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Mar 06 2025 17:21:23

ACUS02 KWNS 061721
SWODY2
SPC AC 061719

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1119 AM CST Thu Mar 06 2025

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated to widely scattered storms are possible in east-central
Arizona into west-central New Mexico Friday afternoon/evening.
Additional storms are possible late Friday night in parts of
North/Central Texas. Severe weather potential currently appears low.

....Synopsis...
Low-amplitude ridging will be present across the southern Plains and
Southeast through Friday night. An upper trough in the lower
Colorado Valley will move eastward through the Southwest and is
expected to reach the southern High Plains by Saturday morning. A
surface low, initially in Kansas, will move into the lower Ohio
Valley, weakening with time. A cold front will push southward into
Central Texas. A weak frontal cyclone will develop along the
boundary as the Southwestern trough approaches.

....Parts of Central/North Texas...
Late Friday night into Saturday, storm development is possible along
and north of the surface cold front. Forcing for ascent will remain
rather modest and most forecast soundings have some hints of
mid-level warm air inhibiting development. CAM solutions
consequently show isolated storms, but vary spatially in terms of
where storms may initiate. Given the strong southwesterly flow aloft
and modest elevated buoyancy, the strongest storms could produce at
least small hail.

....Arizona/New Mexico...
Cold temperatures aloft beneath the upper trough will promote
isolated to perhaps widely scattered thunderstorms in portions of
east-central Arizona and west-central New Mexico. With cloud cover
and precipitation expected within the region, buoyancy and storm
intensity should remain low.

...Wendt.. 03/06/2025

$$

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