Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0123
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Mar 02 2025 23:35:21

ACUS11 KWNS 022335
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022334=20
OKZ000-030030-

Mesoscale Discussion 0123
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0534 PM CST Sun Mar 02 2025

Areas affected...portions of western OK

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 15...

Valid 022334Z - 030030Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 15
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe potential has rapidly diminished late this
afternoon across western Oklahoma. A new watch downstream from
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 15 is not expected.

DISCUSSION...Convection has continued to weaken with north and east
extent across southwest/western OK this afternoon. As thunderstorm
continue to shift northeast toward central OK, low-level moisture
will rapidly decrease in tandem with weakening midlevel lapse rates.
Together this will result in meager elevated instability
insufficient for maintaining deep updrafts supporting severe
convection. As such, a downstream watch is not expected and WW 15
will either be cancelled early or allowed to expire as scheduled at
7pm CST.

...Leitman.. 03/02/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9MzUukp-H6UmKyvOwbH2CQYXdtvVA0hAZOmuKUI1D0n4rQmnbZecvcMc_XQau8ZZo_Sjb5YSY=
kUcmrz6FYiuABrATX8$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...

LAT...LON   35869900 35899823 35429774 34919794 34749832 34729871
            34879918 35439931 35869900=20


=3D =3D =3D
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