Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Feb 25 2025 08:22:19

ACUS03 KWNS 250822
SWODY3
SPC AC 250821

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0221 AM CST Tue Feb 25 2025

Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible from the Southeast
to the Carolinas and southern Virginia on Thursday.

....Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify as it moves toward the East Coast
today. A strong surface cold front will be near the Appalachians at
the beginning of the period and move into the western Atlantic by
early Friday morning. Farther west, a closed low will develop and
move slowly east beneath a mid-level ridge in the western CONUS. Any
thunderstorm activity associated with this mid-level low should
remain offshore through 12Z Friday.

....Carolinas into the Southeast...
Instability will remain somewhat limited ahead of a surface front as
it moves east on Thursday due to limited moisture east of the
Appalachians. Weak instability is forecast which could result in a
few thunderstorms Thursday afternoon/evening. Isolated thunderstorms
are possible along the cold front from central Alabama into South
Carolina where instability may be somewhat greater, but upper-level
forcing will be weaker. Thunderstorm chances will be higher across
North Carolina and southern Virginia where stronger mid-level
forcing will arrive Thursday evening. Minimal instability should
preclude the chance of severe weather with any of this activity.

...Bentley.. 02/25/2025

$$

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