Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Feb 24 2025 09:57:31

ACUS48 KWNS 240956
SWOD48
SPC AC 240954

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0354 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025

Valid 271200Z - 041200Z

....DISCUSSION...
A strong mid-level trough will amplify across the East Coast on
Thursday with a strong cold front sharpening along the Appalachians
and moving into the Atlantic. Given the persistent continental
airmass preceding the cold front with minimal moisture recovery,
instablity should be quite weak. However, forecast soundings show
some weak instability which could promote a few lightning flashes
across the Carolinas and vicinity.

In the wake of the cold front, dry air will remain across the CONUS
and will penetrate well into the Gulf. This should limit any
lightning potential on Friday and Saturday. By D7/Sun an D8/Mon,
sufficient moisture recovery across the Gulf and inland penetration
across the southern Plains and Southeast may result in the potential
for thunderstorms and perhaps a few strong to severe storms.
However, at this time, this potential does not appear high enough to
warrant severe weather probabilities for either day.

...Bentley.. 02/24/2025

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