Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Feb 22 2025 08:03:18

ACUS03 KWNS 220803
SWODY3
SPC AC 220802

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0202 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms are possible across South Florida on Monday. No
severe thunderstorms are expected.

....Discussion...
A positively-tilted, mid-level shortwave trough and associated
surface low will traverse the Gulf and cross the Florida Peninsula
on Monday. Some weak instability will be present which may be
sufficient for a few thunderstorms, particularly across the Keys and
into far South Florida. While effective shear will be sufficient for
organized convection (40-45 knots), weak lapse rates and relatively
weak instability will likely inhibit the overall threat. Therefore,
while thunderstorms are possible, severe weather remains unlikely.

A strong mid-level jet and associated trough will move into the
Northwest on Monday. As temperatures cool aloft, sufficient
instability should develop for isolated lightning, particularly
closer to the coast.

...Bentley.. 02/22/2025

$$

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