Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Feb 18 2025 17:31:08

ACUS02 KWNS 181731
SWODY2
SPC AC 181729

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1129 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2025

Valid 191200Z - 201200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible across portions of the coastal
Southeast and Florida Peninsula on Wednesday, but organized severe
storms are not currently expected.

....Coastal Southeast/Florida...
The region will be glancingly influenced by cyclonic flow aloft and
a lead low-amplitude shortwave trough spreading eastward toward the
Appalachians and Carolinas. Semi-organized linear convection will
likely be ongoing Wednesday morning near/ahead of a surface low and
cold front near the middle Gulf Coast, with this convection/front
expected to have shifted offshore by 12z Wednesday.

This convection will probably generally persist east-southeastward
during the day over the open waters of the northern/eastern Gulf.
There is the possibility that some of this convection will reach and
move inland across the west-central Florida, including the general
Tampa Bay vicinity, during the afternoon. Cloud cover/poor lapse
rates should tend to hinder destabilization inland, but a few
stronger storms cannot be entirely discounted across the
west-central Peninsula. The inland severe-weather potential
currently appears sufficiently low to preclude wind/tornado
probabilities, but this will be reevaluated into the Day 1 time
frame.

...Guyer.. 02/18/2025

$$

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