Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Feb 18 2025 00:32:49

ACUS01 KWNS 180031
SWODY1
SPC AC 180030

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0630 PM CST Mon Feb 17 2025

Valid 180100Z - 181200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
The risk for thunderstorms should remain negligible tonight.

....Discussion...
Conditions will be too dry/stable for lightning-producing convection
across much of the CONUS through the period. A lone thunderstorm
occurred in the past hour over western CO amid scant buoyancy and
very steep lapse rates per the 00Z GJT sounding. While an additional
storm or two might occur in the next hour or so, amid moderate
large-scale ascent, predominately sub-freezing thermodynamic
profiles with eastern extent across the CO Rockies and adjacent High
Plains should largely mitigate thunderstorm potential.

...Grams.. 02/18/2025

$$

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