Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0091
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Feb 13 2025 00:46:44

ACUS11 KWNS 130046
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130045=20
ALZ000-MSZ000-130215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0091
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0645 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025

Areas affected...southern AL and southeast MS

Concerning...Tornado Watch 6...

Valid 130045Z - 130215Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 6 continues.

SUMMARY...Strong tornado potential should persist along the surface
warm front, expanding east of Tornado Watch 6 into an initially
confined portion of southeast Alabama.

DISCUSSION...A recently intense supercell from Washington to Clarke
County, AL produced a potentially strong tornado near the wavy
surface warm front. This boundary arcs more east-northeast ahead of
this cell through Wilcox to southern Montgomery County, then pivots
southeast into Barbour County per latest surface observations. 00Z
LIX sounding sampled a rather favorable supercell environment, amply
buoyant with strong deep-layer shear. Enhanced vorticity along the
slow-moving front will be most favorable for strong tornado
potential into late evening. With neutral mid-level height change
through the evening, the number of additional warm-sector supercells
may be limited. The northern portion of the tornado threat will wane
quickly where surface dew points hold below 65-66 F.

...Grams.. 02/13/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4bwltBc1diiJ06TCNaqZIwF8THFRsBjlG3-Mv6uKJhDVx3uLrLA6QT81PwCQYqz-wx-7K6EaK=
n_B3j0eUO5saYuEBSE$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...

LAT...LON   32558718 32638620 32548570 32338555 32008560 31758583
            31628630 31548704 31468773 31298854 31208896 31198960
            31498960 31818914 32198846 32558718=20


=3D =3D =3D
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