Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Feb 08 2025 08:19:36

ACUS03 KWNS 080819
SWODY3
SPC AC 080818

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0218 AM CST Sat Feb 08 2025

Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible from the Edwards Plateau into
central and northeast Texas late Monday night. Severe weather
potential is low.

....Synopsis...
While strong zonal flow will persist across portions of the Midwest
into the Northeast, broadly cyclonic flow will increase across the
western U.S. through the period. A shortwave trough will emerge from
northern Mexico and eject into  West/Central Texas by Tuesday
morning. At the surface, Gulf moisture will remain near the coast,
south of a stalled cold front. As the upper trough approaches, this
moisture will make some progress northward overnight Monday.

....Edwards Plateau into Northeast Texas...
While models differ on the northward advancement of moisture late
Monday into Tuesday--the NAM most notably less aggressive--it is
probable that moisture will be sufficient to support elevated
buoyancy. Modest mid-level ascent and lower-level warm advection
will promote showers and isolated thunderstorms from the Edwards
Plateau region into Central and Northeast Texas late Monday night
into Tuesday morning. While shear will be strong, mid-level lapse
rates and buoyancy will be weak. Severe weather is not expected with
this activity.

...Wendt.. 02/08/2025

$$

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