Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0069
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Feb 06 2025 14:53:27

ACUS11 KWNS 061453
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061452=20
VAZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-061615-

Mesoscale Discussion 0069
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0852 AM CST Thu Feb 06 2025

Areas affected...Southeast KY into far western VA

Concerning...Tornado Watch 3...

Valid 061452Z - 061615Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 3 continues.

SUMMARY...Some threat for locally damaging wind and/or a tornado may
continue into late morning.

DISCUSSION...A band of thunderstorms with a history of producing an
apparent tornado and locally damaging gusts is moving across
southeast KY toward western VA this morning. Diminishing instability
with eastward extent and a tendency for a weakening/veering
low-level jet (as the primary midlevel shortwave trough moves away)
should result in a gradual weakening trend with time as storms move
eastward. However, strong low/midlevel flow and favorable deep-layer
shear will continue to support organized convection through late
morning, with an attendant threat of locally damaging gusts and
perhaps a tornado across the remaining portion of WW 3, and also
potentially into adjacent parts of far western VA.

...Dean.. 02/06/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9M2keFP1cZErLw5zG0S3nZEfJt0X6P0rGIJX56dYgh3bBidAzs9EVkZE9GXAALgohHr7WLrtc=
FPDay-7OI8aKW3ebVc$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...

LAT...LON   36948487 37388268 37438216 37398111 37008136 36788241
            36658328 36628434 36658474 36948487=20


=3D =3D =3D
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