Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Jan 26 2025 19:22:26

ACUS03 KWNS 261922
SWODY3
SPC AC 261921

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0121 PM CST Sun Jan 26 2025

Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
The potential for thunderstorms across the CONUS remains low
Tuesday.

....Synopsis...
The primary upper-level features of interest for Tuesday will be the
shortwave ridge over the southern Plains and a slowly eastward
progressing upper low in the Southwest. Models continue to show
positional variability with regard to the upper low with the
ECMWF/GFS being slightly slower than the NAM. Subsidence/capping
should keep any potential for thunderstorms very low across the
southern Plains through much of Tuesday night. As the upper low
moves east, surface low development in northern Mexico/West Texas
will begin to draw Gulf of Mexico moisture north and westward.
Moistening at 850 mb will be greater than near the surface, however.
Towards Wednesday morning, some elevated CAPE will be present from
Central into East Texas. Given remnant influences from the
upper-level ridging and nebulous forcing, capping will likely
prohibit thunderstorm development.

...Wendt.. 01/26/2025

$$

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