Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Jan 25 2025 16:22:46

ACUS01 KWNS 251622
SWODY1
SPC AC 251620

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1020 AM CST Sat Jan 25 2025

Valid 251630Z - 261200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United
States today or tonight.

....Discussion...
Low amplitude nearly zonal westerlies will prevail over the majority
of the CONUS to the east of an upper low centered over Nevada and
northern California. Near this upper low, cold mid-level
temperatures and steep lapse rates could contribute to a few
lightning flashes with weak convection late this afternoon into
evening. Elsewhere, increasing warm/moist advection will lead to
scattered elevated convection late tonight/early Sunday across east
Texas into northern Louisiana and ArkLaTex, some of which could
produce lightning. Severe storms are not expected given weak
buoyancy.

...Guyer/Dean.. 01/25/2025

$$

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