Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jan 15 2025 19:40:24

ACUS01 KWNS 151940
SWODY1
SPC AC 151938

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0138 PM CST Wed Jan 15 2025

Valid 152000Z - 161200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

....20z...
The primary change for this update was to remove the general
thunderstorm risk area along the TX Gulf coast. Latest IR trends
show the deepest convection capable of producing lightning flashes
offshore. This trend will continue as a weak surface low migrates
further into the Gulf through the late afternoon/overnight hours and
cool offshore flow becomes more prevalent along the coast.
Consequently, thunderstorm potential through 12 UTC Thursday will
remain too limited for highlights.

...Moore.. 01/15/2025

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1015 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025/

....Synopsis and Discussion...
With weak instability in place this morning, isolated thunderstorms
should continue for a few more hours along parts of the middle/upper
TX Coast as an upper trough pivots southeastward over the southern
Plains. This activity will remain elevated in nature, and severe
thunderstorms are not expected. Across the rest of the CONUS, dry
and/or stable conditions will preclude thunderstorms through
tonight.

$$

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