Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jan 15 2025 09:03:19

ACUS48 KWNS 150903
SWOD48
SPC AC 150901

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0301 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025

Valid 181200Z - 231200Z

....DISCUSSION...
A weak surface low and attendant cold front is forecast to sweep
across the Southeast on Day 4/Sat. Ahead of this feature, low-level
moisture will increase along the central and northeast Gulf coast
vicinity, with 60s F dewpoints generally remaining within the I-10
corridor. More modest moisture is possible across a broader area
from central MS/AL into GA. While mid/upper flow will be quite
strong, thermodynamics will largely limit a greater severe risk.
Nevertheless, isolated thunderstorms, and perhaps a couple of strong
storms, are possible near the immediate Gulf coast. Potential
remains too low however to include 15 percent probabilities at this
time.

By Day 5/Sun, the aforementioned cold front will move offshore.
Strong Arctic high pressure will build southeast and east across
much of the CONUS east of the Rockies through the end of the
forecast period, resulting in a cold, dry, and stable airmass.

...Leitman.. 01/15/2025

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